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Old 05-09-2008, 08:12 PM   #1687 (permalink)
Bugs
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Polls, polls, polls.

Gallup (Daily):
Gallup Daily: No Dent in Obama Lead So Far
Obama - 49%
McCain - 42%

Rasmussen (Daily):
Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election.
Obama - 47%
McCain - 43%

CBS (Weekly):
McCain ties Obama in new poll, Palin pushes for funds after big speech - Phoenix Business Journal:
Obama - 42%
McCain - 42%
(Note the CBS poll was conducted Mon-Wends, prior to the Palin and McCain speechs).

Should be interesting to see if McCain gets a bounce following his speech, and the convention wrap-up. Really baring any big mistake by either side this will be McCain's last chance to make a big move in the polls, until the debates.

Seems McCain got a pit of a bump prior to his speech, if you want to count his intrade going up as this guys seems to:
Megan McArdle (September 04, 2008) - How can I say Obama's in trouble when he's leading in the polls?
Quote:
Obama got very little bounce from his convention despite an astouding television and live viewership for his acceptance speech. The McCain contract, on the other hand, got a 1.3 bounce this morning before he even spoke.

When I say that the Obama campaign is in trouble, I don't mean by any means that a McCain victory just became inevitable, or even probable. But Obama is no longer going to have the walk everyone was expecting three months ago. They need to find a more successful means of attacking McCain than they have so far come up with, because the overall trend of their polls is downward, and I'm told that many internal polls, which project likely voters, already show McCain with at least a 50/50 chance of winning. Obama's got a fight on his hands.
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