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Old 05-08-2008, 09:15 PM   #298 (permalink)
lannarebirth
Jomtien Beach
 
Last Online: 11-10-2008 10:45 PM
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Chiang Mai
Posts: 38
lannarebirth has a great interest in being a Thailand Expatlannarebirth has a great interest in being a Thailand Expatlannarebirth has a great interest in being a Thailand Expatlannarebirth has a great interest in being a Thailand Expat
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Originally Posted by Panda View Post
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Originally Posted by lannarebirth View Post
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Originally Posted by Panda View Post
^ Speculation then?
In a manner of speaking yes, but when you move into a closed end market, with an incredible amount of money, it's not speculation that you can move it higher. It WILL go higher. The hard part is getting out with all your money. It's like a pyramid scheme in a way. Same as it ever was.
I am a bit naive here, but it sounds more like market manipulation than just pure speculation.
That's right. Commodities are closed end markets with limited "inventory" in any given year, or in some cases, ever. Consequently regulations limit the position size any one entity can hold or they can move, even corner the market. That's what's been going on and recent legislation has been passed to curb thepractice. the regulatory hammer hasn't fallen yet, but the market is selling off in anticipation that it will. commodities markets are not a place for "investors" It is a place where producers and buyers hedge their prices for receiving shipment of commodities. The "funds" have no intention of ever receiving shipment, they just want to drive the price higher, which they did.

Noneof that means it won't go back to this level (or higher) in the future if true market dynamics warrant such a move. That is not extant at present, thus the selloff.
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