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Originally Posted by Texpat Predicting a US presidential race that's essentially a dead heat four months out? |
Polls reflect "current" thinking. No question things can change and the then polls will reflect the change. I can't see either a catastrophic event happening to Obama or a profound change in McCain's campaign approach that will put him in the lead as the favorite to win.
Given the trend over the last few months the lead Obama has now will be much greater in November. McCain and the Republicans have squandered time and opportunities to fix their campaign strategy. Having failed they are in for a major wuppin.