Subprime Shocks, U.S. Bank Dividends, Trackers' Demise: Timshel
Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Aftershocks from the collapse of the U.S. subprime-mortgage market this year are taking an increasing toll on companies worldwide.
In the U.K., banks' reluctance to make money available to each other following the subprime debacle helps explain why home prices fell 3.2 percent this month. This decline is the steepest since Rightmove Plc, Britain's most popular online real-estate site, started providing figures in 2002.
``Buyers face limited availability of mortgages at attractive rates'' because lenders depend largely on ``log- jammed'' money markets for funding, the Milton Keynes, England- based company wrote in a report yesterday.
U.K. homebuilding shares declined in response to the data. Their second-half losses are now more in line with those of their U.S. counterparts. The average drop for the half among six builders in the FTSE 350 Index is 27 percent, just one percentage point from the comparable figure for the industry's half-dozen worst performers in Standard & Poor's benchmark U.S. indexes.
Australia's Centro Properties Group fell even harder yesterday after disclosing that ``tightened credit conditions'' prevented the company from reaching agreement with its banks to refinance A$1.3 billion ($1.12 billion) of debt maturing in May.
Centro, which suspended dividends and said asset sales may be needed to pay down debt, plummeted 76 percent. Centro Retail Group, a real-estate investment trust that the Melbourne-based company manages, tumbled 40 percent.
Peripheral Victims
Companies based outside the U.S. have been part of the subprime mess, a byproduct of loans made to less-creditworthy borrowers, from the start. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's biggest bank, foreshadowed what was coming when its loan-loss provision in February exceeded analysts' forecasts by 20 percent.
What makes the latest setbacks more unsettling is that they have relatively little to do with the U.S. housing market. Among the biggest U.K. homebuilders, only Taylor Wimpey Plc does much business there, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Centro is a mall and shopping-center owner, not a residential builder.
The decline in the average asking price for U.K. homes has much to do with the local market as well. For starters, the Bank of England's base rate is 1.25 percentage points higher than the comparable U.S. benchmark, making loans more expensive.
Yet the U.S.-inspired withering of credit markets is clearly affecting the housing industry. The average price in London fell 6.8 percent, more than twice the national average. Thirty-two areas of the city had declines, the survey found.
Following Retailers
Any housing-related weakness in U.S. retail sales may hurt Centro, which spent $3.7 billion in April to buy New York-based New Plan Excel Realty Trust. The National Retail Federation, a Washington-based industry group, and other forecasters expect the slowest growth in holiday sales since 2002.
Retailing stocks have tumbled in the U.S. as well as the U.K. this year, so yesterday's plunge in Centro didn't come from nowhere. That said, it shows just how far and wide the subprime- related tremors are spreading.
Bloomberg.com: Opinion