I hope Germany of course, having dominated most of the winter olympics for the last 30 years. Ever since Sarajevo 1984.
It was sweet to beat he Russians, and the doped US athletes weren't even in the same league. Can you believe this pic is the only one I found that I could copy and paste? Almost deleted from history. Anyway, I think this time Germany will come in 2nd or 3rd, to many weaknesses in sports with many competitions, Biathlon, Cross Country, and speed skating. Reemerging in ski jumping and Alpine, and getting better in the new sports snowboarding and freestyle, but they're highly unpredictable. Guaranteed medals almost only in the sport we own, luge, and in Nordic Kombination we could share them with Norway down the middle if it goes like in the events of the last months.
America is weak in Cross Country, Biathlon, ski jumping and luge; Canada as well apart from Cross Country, but no good in Bobsleigh. It won in Vancouver with 26 medals, experience shows that they'll lose about 40% at the next games. If Russia wins 40% more than in Vancouver were it had 15, that would be 22. Not enough.
My bet is on small Norway. Dominating Cross Country (12 sets of medals), Biathlon (11), very strong in Alpine (10), snowboard (10), and freestyle (10). Their only weakness is the ice track. I think they'll break the previous records of Canada (14 gold), and the US (37 medals), both in the Vancouver games by a long way.